We only have the first two states under our belts, and they’re not terribly representative of the nation as a whole, but it’s what we have right now. So what do we know about turnout?
Turnout was disappointing this year in Iowa. In 2016, turnout was 171,517 and only a touch over 176,000 showed up this year. This is way off the high water mark which was in 2008, in the lead up to President Obama’s first election, when 239,000 showed up.
There are various explanations as to what might have happened. A concern is that the cynicism that Trump propagates affected voters. A more hopeful outlook is that there were a lot of “undecided” voters who fall into the “I’ll vote for whoever the nominee is” camp.
We have a completely different result in New Hampshire. In 2016, turnout was 254,780 and this year, it had hit 287,594 with 18 small towns left to count. (The total votes in 2008 was 287,557, so we’ve already passed that mark.)
On the downside, although the overall count is higher, the percentage of eligible voters casting a vote dropped from 29% to 26% (that’s 2020 compared to 2008).
We’ve only awarded 65 delegates so far. Candidates need 1,991 delegates to secure their nomination on the first ballot at the Democratic National Convention. NBC News has a good delegate tracker HERE.