We win the White House in 2020 by winning the swing states.
That’s it. That’s the post.
But in all seriousness, as you all told me in my recent survey, the number one concern that you have in 2020 is that we might not get rid of Trump. If one of your political goals for 2020 is getting rid of Trump, then you should invest your energy into winning the swing states, and thereby the Electoral College.
Like it or not, for the 2020 election, the Electoral College will determine the next president. (If you want to help the project to use the popular vote instead of the Electoral College to pick presidents, read THIS.) And you don’t have to go far to find an article surmising that once again, Trump could lose the popular vote and still end up president. So, it’s not about winning the popular vote overall, it’s about winning the popular vote in key states.
There are states that generally go blue, there are others that go red, and then there are the swing states. The consensus is that there are 15 swing states for 2020. Here’s the list:
The swing states Trump won:
The swing states Clinton won:
There are many paths to 270 electoral votes, but it is through these states. If you want to play around with different projections, try this interactive map at 270 to Win.
But once you’ve settled on which state you want to focus on, the time to take action is now. Help register voters, raise awareness of voter registration deadlines and primary election dates, and then help turn them out to vote. Many of these states have another statewide election like a U.S. Senator or governor to help ramp up excitement and interest — getting involved with those campaigns are another great way to get involved.
Which state will you focus on?