The Outcome of the Senate Trial is Not a Done Deal. Here’s Why.

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Do you remember the days and weeks leading up to the Senate’s vote on the disastrous Republican “repeal and replace” healthcare bill during Trump’s first year as president?

I do. Thousands of everyday Americans called their Senators, and attended town halls, and demanded meetings in their local offices, and wrote op-eds for their local papers, and more. We demanded to be heard on this incredibly important topic and we did not give up. Back in 2017, we had no reason to believe that the Republican Senators would vote the way Democrats wanted them to. But we cared a LOT about this issue and nothing was going to stop us.

And then we won. The Republicans failed to get enough votes to pass their bill.

We’ve all seen the power of a motivated citizenry. So I’m very perplexed as to why everyone, and I mean everyone, says out loud that the Senate will not vote to convict Trump in the upcoming impeachment trial. I hear it all the time–on TV, in podcasts, from friends and family, and on social media.

Ever heard of a self-fulfilling prophecy? It’s when your pessimism in turn cripples your willingness to act and viola! you literally make it happen, just as you feared.

If you think there is zero chance your Senator will convict Trump, how willing are you to call him and give him hell on the phone? You’re just going to let it slide and not call? If you don’t bother to call, his staffer will tell him he got zero phone calls asking him to convict Trump. Not one of his corporate campaign donors or hometown newspaper whose endorsement he wants is calling to say that they, too, want him to convict Trump because their customers are leaving in droves due to his stance on impeachment. If your Senator feels NO PRESSURE, why indeed would he vote to convict?

Politics is unpredictable and fluid. Pressure works. Also, anything could happen in the coming days and weeks to completely change the situation:

🔹What if the economy takes a nose dive just as the impeachment trial is finishing up?

🔹What if all of the Democratic candidates hoping to flip vulnerable Senate seats are polling great and raising tons of money? Those Republican Senators might not vote to convict.

🔹What if the Senate looks more and more like it’s going to flip to the Democrats, and fearing for their jobs, the Republicans decide to bet on Pence?

🔹What if a few major Republican donors decide that Trump is bad for business and they won’t support Senators in their re-election next year if they are supportive of Trump? Especially if they move against Mitch McConnell–nothing is going to come between McConnell and his re-election, not even Trump.

It’s politics. Anything could happen to completely change the dynamics.

It comes down to a simple question: Have you given up? Are you perfectly happy to let your Senator believe that none of his constituents want him to vote to convict? Are you fine with quietly stepping aside as the Republicans destroy the rule of law?

I sure hope the answer is no.

What actions you can take

If you are not willing to just let the Republican Senators get through impeachment without a fight, then you must take action and you must get more people to see things the way you do.

First of all, we all must reprogram our thinking about the Senate. Stop using defeatist  words like “never” and “won’t.” Instead, tell yourself that the impeachment story is not written in stone, it is not yet written in the history books, and that we all have a part to play in shaping the outcome.

When you hear others using language like “the Senate will never convict,” SPEAK UP. Remind them that politics is fluid. Ask them if they’ve given up on the rule of law. Remind them that words affect our belief system and therefore, our actions.

Ask people if they’re ok with letting the Republicans off the hook. Are they ok with not holding them accountable. My guess is they aren’t.

After we’ve reprogrammed our thinking, and remind others to similarly think differently about the situation, we each need to take action. You know the drill by now: 🔹You call your Members of Congress and talk to their staffers. 🔹You send them emails and postcards to tell them how you feel about impeachment and what you’ll do if they dare to let Trump off the hook (i.e. fight like hell to elect their opponent.) 🔹Go with your local group to visit their offices to demand their vote in person. 🔹Find out which companies are supporting their candidacy and tell the company you are boycotting them due to their support of the Senator. 🔹Then get your friends to do that, too. 🔹Write op-eds for your local paper to remind your neighbors that this is not a lost cause. 🔹Contact reporters who write about the Senate trial “being a done deal” by finding their contact information or on their social media account. 🔹Attend your Senators’ town halls (or public events) and make sure your point of view is heard.

It’ll take all of us to help break the pattern. But the rule of law, and our democracy, is at stake. I choose not to be defeatist, but instead hold onto hope that we everyday citizens can truly change the course of history, and then take action to ensure that it does.

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16 replies

  1. I love your optimism. I have to admit, I’m not hopeful. But, I’m not defeated either. You’re right too, so much can happen between now and then. And you know what? Who knows how many impeachable offenses he may commit between now and then? Every day, something else comes out. Every day he pushes the boundaries of our democracy. More stuff could be coming. We just don’t know. Very good advice on how to make a difference. Love it!

    • Thanks. Whatever happens, we can’t let our Republican members of Congress off the hook. We must let them know we’re angry and willing to rhetorically fight for what we want.

    • I know that my Senator(s) will vote to convict and remove because they’re Democrats. I’m not sure whether whatever other members will remember that we’re a a constitutional republic and not a banana republic. Trump has sodomized the government, destroyed alliances and made us a laughingstock. He has to go and the Senate has got to do it.

  2. I must shamefully admit to being one of those who has been operating under the assumption that there is no way that 20 republican senators will find their cojones in order to convict and remove the madman from the Oval Office. However, of late, I’ve begun to think that maybe … just maybe. Your post is a ray of light, of optimism, and optimism is contagious, so I will share this later today, in hopes of spreading that optimism, of convincing more people that contacting our senators is not a waste of time, or a lost cause. Thank you for this inspiring post!

  3. Reblogged this on Filosofa's Word and commented:
    I, like the majority of us, have been guilty of lamenting that though the House will almost certainly impeach the most corrupt president we’ve ever had, I was equally certain that the Senate would never vote to convict and remove him. My reasoning being that it will require 20 republican senators and every single democratic senator to achieve the 2/3 super-majority required and there are not 20 republican senators with integrity. While that may well be the case, I was wrong in that I forgot, briefly, what a powerful voice We the People can have when we work together to use it. Our friend TokyoSand reminds us …

  4. Tokyo Sand, well said. We are still at the end of the beginning. If McGahn and Bolton testify, it will add further. The Republican legislators know they are playing a bad hand. We need to remind them to whom they swore that oath.

    I have sent variation of the following email to select Senators and my Congressman. Please feel free to adapt and use.

    “We have a national security issue right in front us and are not asking enough why questions.
    – why is the president running a shadow diplomacy with Rudy Guiliani, who has not been vetted by the Senate?
    – why does the president ignore the seasoned diplomats and intelligence officials to chase conspiracy theories postulated by talk show hosts.
    – why are diligent, courageous and honorable public servants focusing on helping Ukraine gain better footing, when the president is so focused on his campaign?
    – why is there obstruction of documents and witnesses? The president cries foul, but he is blocking witnesses. He can’t have it both ways.

    As an independent and former Republican voter, I am deeply concerned by what has transpired in the White House with Ukraine. I am also concerned by an over zealous protection of someone who needs greater scrutiny, not less. I fully support the impeachment hearings. What witnesses are testifying under oath at great risk is very troubling.

    A letter to the editor in my paper today was entitled “As a Republican, I won’t follow blindly.” The following are his first two paragraphs:

    “Why are American citizens turning a deaf ear to the obvious wrongdoings of the president of the United States.

    As a registered Republican, I am appalled that my fellow American citizens aren’t ashamed of the total disregard for the truth that is being emitted from Washington.”

    The emperor has no clothes.”


    • This is great, Keith. Thanks for sharing it here.

      • You are most welcome. After reading Tucker Carlson’s comments this morning that he is pulling for the Russians over Ukraine, my first thought was his indoctrination is complete and Putin is smiling broadly at how effective his disinformation campaign is going in the US. Trump is ignoring a vast intelligence force to heed the advice of disinformed talk show hosts. He is hurting Ukraine, an important ally, for personal gain. Even sycophants like Lindsey Graham know this wrong, which truly disgusts me when I see how he is supporting this person.

        I think we should focus on the National Security Risk issue with the Senate and House representatives. A president that is using another country for political gain, is someone who is jeopardizing national interests and is pliable by other leaders. Picture a leader liked Kim dangling a personal carrot for Trump, which benefits his country, eg.


      • Tucker holds the same values as Russian political leaders: Concentrate wealth at the top; squelch any dissent of the dear leader; and expel minorities.


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