We Just Got a Voter Turnout Warning

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Illustration by Kiv Bui, via Sundial.

Everyone knows turnout is important, but now we know how important it is going to be in the midterms.

CBS just ran a few turnout models for the midterms and what they found tells me we need to get even smarter, and louder, when it comes to our get out the vote efforts.

You can read all of the details in the article, but what they are essentially looking at is whether or not Democrats who normally don’t vote in midterms vote this year. You know from my previous posts that our turnout in midterms has been awful. At the same time, we know Democratic enthusiasm is way up. So the model looks at both of those scenarios.

This is what happens in each of those scenarios:

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Of course, if we turn out the vote, we win the House. But if we don’t, we could lose the House by ONE SEAT. Right now, I can’t conceive of anything worse than losing the House by one seat.

Just think, it could come down to one congressional district. One. Is it yours? Is it mine? There’s no way of knowing. So, let’s do everything we can to get a Democrat elected in our districts.

Whether you want the House to protect pre-existing conditions and your healthcare, or to be a check on Trump’s power, or any of the other reasons why you want to kick out Republicans and replace them with Democrats, voting and getting others to vote with you is the only way. We know why people often don’t vote; your job is to turn that around for one or two or three people.

Find a way to get out the vote today.

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Categories: Explainers

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