How Many Governorships Can Democrats Pick Up?

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With the Illinois primary results in, it looks like the Democrats have a legitimate shot at picking up that governorship. How many more are within our reach?

Note: Currently, the Democrats only have 16 governors mansions.

In the 2018 midterms, there are governor races in 36 states and 3 territories. They are almost evenly split between incumbents who are running again and seats where the incumbent either can’t or isn’t running for re-election.


Potential GOP seats we could flip:

Arizona
Florida
Georgia
Illinois
Iowa
Kansas
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Mexico
Ohio
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Vermont
Wisconsin

FiveThirtyEight has the race ratings (toss-up, etc.) and more information about why each of these races are flippable here.

Danger! Here are the most vulnerable Democratic seats we need to protect:
Colorado
Connecticut
Minnesota
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island

Remember, half of the governor races this year don’t have an incumbent. Incumbents are harder to unseat, so that creates a lot of opportunities this year. The big question is, will Democrats turn people out for the elections? There has certainly been a lot of enthusiasm in elections this year so far, but historically, Democrats have done a terrible job at midterms.

There’s a lot of work to do to flip these governors mansions. Get to know the candidates running in your state and volunteer!

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Categories: Explainers

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